Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.282647 0.333975 0.395328 0.475067 0.577458 0.706635 0.885436
2025-01-26 0.211787 0.275043 0.361244 0.491548 0.691693 1.002927 1.559359
2025-02-02 0.172964 0.240289 0.341326 0.513260 0.820436 1.399787 2.751378
2025-02-09 0.146621 0.214183 0.323322 0.527539 0.942575 1.878368 4.761962
2025-02-16 0.128736 0.195899 0.311229 0.545478 1.080904 2.520267 8.583034
2025-02-23 0.114391 0.179905 0.298190 0.555774 1.209559 3.290638 15.697440
2025-03-02 0.102618 0.165860 0.284956 0.560424 1.329022 4.211917 29.776115
2025-03-09 0.092407 0.152740 0.270400 0.556870 1.425950 5.234243 58.292914
2025-03-16 0.083178 0.139956 0.253833 0.543001 1.484789 6.234499 115.269185
2025-03-23 0.078087 0.134297 0.251032 0.563693 1.681516 8.557982 414.538659
2025-03-30 0.071338 0.124403 0.237087 0.549576 1.739302 10.193836 1372.333444
2025-04-06 0.067067 0.118951 0.232185 0.560166 1.914504 13.675866 26030.185569
2025-04-13 0.062166 0.111707 0.222157 0.553279 2.014388 17.169313 NaN
2025-04-20 0.058936 0.107620 0.219071 0.568061 2.247458 24.709079 NaN
2025-04-27 0.056468 0.104863 0.218785 0.592614 2.574820 39.120667 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053877 0.101510 0.216390 0.609324 2.887817 61.865783 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051697 0.098820 0.215270 0.630858 3.281770 107.915798 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049380 0.095547 0.212026 0.643280 3.640562 189.495789 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047051 0.091997 0.207446 0.648903 3.965978 340.771226 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044635 0.088004 0.201010 0.644585 4.202285 598.383177 NaN
2025-06-08 0.042084 0.083459 0.192354 0.627777 4.289065 942.323395 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040869 0.082036 0.192689 0.652861 4.944490 3885.233357 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038685 0.078038 0.184731 0.635741 5.033069 8649.226918 NaN